Kalshi

Kalshi Review (2026): Fees, Legality in the U.S., and What It’s Like to Trade

Quick Verdict: Kalshi is the most straightforward way for U.S. users to trade prediction markets on a regulated exchange. You fund in USD (or via supported crypto rails that convert to USD), you trade YES/NO event contracts on a real order book, and you can get in and out before an event resolves.

Before we get into the details, here’s the tradeoff: Kalshi feels more like a financial exchange than a sportsbook. Fees are real (and they matter a lot around 50/50 markets), market depth varies by category, and the most controversial part of the product right now is sports-related contracts, where the legal and regulatory story is still evolving.

In this review, I’ll walk you through how Kalshi works, what it costs, what the user experience is like day-to-day, and the practical “gotchas” I wish people understood before they deposit their first $50.

Kalshi at A Glance

What it is: A CFTC-regulated event trading exchange where you buy and sell YES/NO contracts that settle at $1.00 or $0.00.

Best for: U.S.-based users who want a regulated venue, a familiar order-book trading experience, and the ability to trade around news (not just place a bet and wait).

Not ideal for: Anyone who wants fixed odds, parlays, or the classic sportsbook vibe, or anyone who hates paying per-trade fees.

Key takeaways I’d highlight upfront:

  1. Kalshi is “exchange-first.” You’re trading with other users, not betting against the house.
  2. Fees are the big difference vs many prediction apps. They can be small… or they can eat a lot of edge on tight trades.
  3. Fees are the big difference vs many prediction apps. They can be small… or they can eat a lot of edge on tight trades.
  4. Sports contracts are the lightning rod. Depending on where you live and what you’re trying to trade, availability and legal risk perception can look different.

Kalshi Platform Overview

Kalshi is a U.S. event contract exchange designed to let everyday traders take positions on real-world outcomes in a regulated format. Instead of odds, you’re buying and selling contracts priced from $0.01 to $0.99 that settle at $1.00 if your outcome is correct and $0.00 if it isn’t.

The platform is built around a central order book, so the experience is closer to trading (think: limit orders, fills, spreads, and liquidity) than traditional sports betting.

If you’re the kind of person who likes the idea of “trading the news,” hedging a real-world risk (inflation data, rate cuts, election outcomes, even weather), or simply getting a market-based probability instead of a hot take, Kalshi is very much in its element.


How Kalshi Works

Here’s the cleanest mental model I use before I place my first order on any new market: treat each contract like a $1.00 payoff, and treat the current price as the market’s implied probability. Once you look at it that way, the rest of Kalshi (limit orders, spreads, and selling early) clicks a lot faster:

  1. Every market is a YES/NO question.
  2. A contract is worth $1 at settlement.
  3. The price you pay is basically the market’s probability (in dollars).

If a YES contract is trading at $0.63, the market is implying roughly a 63% chance of YES.

1. Contracts settle to $1.00 or $0.00

Think of each contract like a $1.00 payout that you’re buying at a discount. Buy YES at $0.63, and if YES happens you receive $1.00 at settlement. Your gross profit is $0.37 per contract (minus fees). If NO happens, the contract settles at $0.00 and you lose what you paid (fees still apply).

Two quick practical notes:

  • You can take the other side too. If you believe something won’t happen, buying NO is often the simplest way to express that view.
  • Your downside is defined by what you paid. That makes risk math easier than it sounds, as long as you’re not oversizing the number of contracts.

2. It’s an order book, not a sportsbook

Kalshi matches buyers and sellers. In plain English: you’re trading against other members who disagree with you.

That matters because spreads and liquidity are part of the game. In a deep market, you can usually get filled quickly and close to the mid-price. In a thin market, you might need patience, or you’ll pay up with a market order.

If you’re new, I strongly recommend starting with limit orders. Market orders are convenient, but in fast-moving markets they can fill at a worse price than you expected.

3. You can exit before settlement

This is where Kalshi gets fun (and dangerous). You’re not locked into “bet and wait.” If you bought YES at $0.40 and it runs to $0.62 on new information, you can sell and realize profit without waiting for the final outcome.

That flexibility cuts both ways: it’s easy to take a quick win, but it’s also easy to panic-sell a position that would have resolved in your favor. Having a simple plan (entry price, target, and “I’m wrong if…”) helps a lot.

4. Market rules and resolution are the real boss

Kalshi markets resolve based on the market rules for that specific question. I always read the resolution language before I trade, especially when the question sounds “obvious.”

A tiny detail like “official announcement,” “as of 5:00pm ET,” or “according to X source” can completely change whether a trade is a win.

My rule: if you can’t clearly explain what proof would settle the market, you probably shouldn’t trade it yet.


Market Types and Categories

Kalshi’s market menu changes over time, but the overall layout is pretty consistent. You’ll usually see markets grouped into a handful of big categories, which makes it easy to scan what’s active and jump straight to the topics you actually follow:

Politics

Elections, approvals, legislative outcomes

Economics

CPI, jobs reports, Fed moves

Crypto

Price levels, ETF-related outcomes

Companies / Tech & Science

Product launches, AI milestones

Climate / Weather

Storm paths, temperatures in major cities

Culture

Awards, entertainment, pop culture

Sports

Season outcomes, game results, award futures (where available)

A practical note from experience: the “best” category depends on what you’re trying to do.

  • If you want tight spreads and fast fills: the biggest headline markets and the most popular sports markets tend to feel the most liquid.
  • If you want niche edges: the quieter categories can be interesting, but you’ll often pay for it in slippage.

Bonus Offers and Incentives

Kalshi has two incentive concepts worth knowing. One is structured and exchange-like. The other shows up as promos and partnerships that rotate.

The big thing to understand is that incentives can help, but they should never be the reason you trade. If you chase rewards by forcing trades, fees and slippage usually win.

Incentive Programs (volume and liquidity)

Kalshi sometimes runs incentive programs that reward either completed trading volume or resting orders that add liquidity. In plain terms:

  • Volume-style rewards tend to benefit active traders who are already placing lots of trades.
  • Liquidity-style rewards are usually aimed at traders who place limit orders that sit on the book and help tighten spreads.

If you’re trading frequently, it’s worth checking the current program details because rewards can partially offset fees. Just keep your standards: I only count incentives as real value if I’d still take the trade without the reward.

Promos, referral codes, and partner campaigns

You’ll also see periodic sign-up promos floating around (often a small credit after you complete a qualifying amount of trades), plus referral or partner campaigns. These tend to rotate and come with eligibility rules.

A couple details I always look for before I bother:

  • Minimum trade or volume requirements
  • Eligibility windows (for example, first X days after sign-up)
  • Limits on which markets or categories qualify

My advice: treat promos as a nice extra, not a reason to choose the platform. If Kalshi fits your style, great. If it doesn’t, a $10 credit won’t change the math.


Platform Usability (web and Mobile Experience)

Kalshi’s UI has improved a lot over time, and today it generally feels like a modern trading app. The biggest mindset shift is that you’re using trading tools (order book, fills, spreads), so the “best” experience usually comes from slowing down a bit and being deliberate.

What I like

Order entry is clean

Fast scanning by cate

Market pages are information-dense

What can be frustrating

❌ Thin markets can feel rough

❌ Rules paranoia is real

❌ Sports can be confusing

What I like About Kalshi

  1. Order entry is clean – Limit orders are the default way to trade, and that’s a good thing. If you’re new, this alone saves you from a lot of accidental overpaying.
  2. Fast scanning by category – It’s easy to bounce between “What’s trending” and specific themes, which is great when you’re looking for the handful of markets that actually have activity.
  3. Market pages are information-dense – You can see price history, order book depth, and the exact rules, all in one place. That makes it easier to sanity-check a trade before you click.

A small workflow tip: I usually glance at the spread first. If the bid/ask is wide, I either set a patient limit order or I skip the market entirely.

What can be frustrating about Kalshi

  1. Thin markets can feel rough – If there’s no depth, you either wait or cross the spread. This is where people think they’re “losing to the platform,” when they’re really just paying for illiquidity.
  2. Rules paranoia is real – You’re not “overthinking” by reading the fine print. It’s part of the edge, especially when the question sounds obvious but the settlement criteria is very specific.
  3. Sports can be confusing – Depending on the market and jurisdictional climate, what’s listed and what’s tradable may shift.

Overall, if you’re comfortable with trading apps, Kalshi feels intuitive. If you’re coming from sportsbooks, there’s a learning curve, but it’s manageable. My best advice is simple: use limit orders, pay attention to spreads, and read the rules before you treat any market like a “sure thing.”


Fees and Pricing Model

This is the section that separates casual dabblers from people who stick around.

Kalshi charges trading fees based on a formula, so the cost of a trade isn’t a flat “X%.” Practically, what you need to know is:

  • Fees are lowest when a contract is priced near $0.01 or $0.99.
  • Fees are highest when the contract is near $0.50 (the most “uncertain” point).

A good rule of thumb: the closer you are to a coin-flip market, the more you should treat fees as part of your thesis, not an afterthought.

The Real-World Impact

If you’re buying a contract at $0.90 because you think it’s a near lock, the fee is usually a footnote.

If you’re trying to scalp a 2-cent move in a 50/50 market, fees can wipe out what you thought was your edge.

That’s why I usually tell newer traders to start with Longer-horizon trades where you expect a meaningful move, or Clear thesis trades where you’re not relying on tiny increments.

Funding and Transfer Fees

Funding costs depend on your method, and the “best” option is usually the one that matches how quickly you need access to your cash.

Bank transfers (ACH)

Are usually the most cost-effective, but they can take time to clear

Debit card deposits

Are convenient and typically faster, but you’re paying for that convenience

Crypto deposits

Can be fast, but you’re introducing network timing and conversion considerations

No matter how you fund, I recommend starting small so you can see the full flow (deposit → trade → withdraw) once before you scale up.

One more practical tip: pair the fee reality with limit orders. Tight markets plus market orders is how beginners accidentally donate value through spreads and fees at the same time.


Legality and regulation (U.S. focus)

Kalshi’s big advantage is that it is positioned as a federally regulated venue for event contracts, which is a very different posture from most “prediction market” apps people find on social media.

In practice, that means two things for a U.S. user:

#1

You’re trading event contracts in a derivatives-style framework (rules-based settlement, order book trading, compliance requirements), not placing a traditional gambling wager.

#2

You should expect standard “grown-up” account procedures like identity verification, funding reviews, and occasional holds that can impact how quickly you can move money.

That said, the practical reality is that regulation can get messy at the edges, especially around sports-related contracts.

What’s clear:

  • Kalshi operates under a federal derivatives framework and emphasizes CFTC oversight.
  • Market outcomes are settled based on written rules and specified sources, not subjective judgment or “house discretion.”

What’s evolving:

  • Sports-related event contracts have triggered disputes about whether they are purely a federal derivatives product or whether state gaming rules can still apply in some contexts.
  • Availability and product lineup can change quickly when regulators, courts, or state authorities get involved. Even if a market appears today, that does not guarantee it stays listed in the same way tomorrow.

My advice (not legal advice)

if you’re trading anything that looks like sports betting, keep your eyes open. This category has moved fast and drawn serious scrutiny.

If you want to stay on the safe and sane side as a user, I’d keep three habits:

  1. Check the market rules before every trade. In regulated markets, the wording is the contract.
  2. Assume edge cases matter. Time cutoffs, “official” vs “reported,” and named data sources can decide settlement.
  3. Plan for change. Do not build a strategy that depends on one specific category always being available.

Security and Transparency

Here’s what I personally like to see from a platform in this space, and how Kalshi generally stacks up.

The key concept: security is not only about hackers. It’s also about whether the platform’s rules, settlement, and money movement are predictable enough that you can manage risk like an adult.

Where Kalshi is strong:

  • Clear market rules and clear resolution criteria on each market. You can usually point to the exact sentence that determines what counts as YES or NO.
  • A help center that actually answers operational questions (funding, holds, fees, order types).
  • A transparent, exchange-style trading model where pricing is visible in an order book. When spreads widen, you can see it, and you can choose to sit out.
  • Auditability in the day-to-day experience. Price history, open orders, and fills are visible, which makes it easier to review what happened after a volatile move.

Where you need to be careful:

  • Operational risk is still real. Holds, verification requirements, and bank transfer timing can affect your ability to move funds quickly. If you might need the cash tomorrow, do not park it in an open trade today.
  • Liquidity risk can look like “platform risk.” On thin markets, a wide spread and poor fills can feel unfair, but it’s usually just a lack of counterparties. Use limit orders and do not force size.
  • Rule nuance can create surprise outcomes if you trade without reading the market details. The most common mistake I see is trading based on the headline question instead of the exact settlement source and cutoff time.
  • Account security is still on you. Use a strong password, enable two-factor authentication if it’s available, and watch for phishing attempts that target popular trading apps.

If you treat Kalshi like a trading platform (not a casino), your expectations will line up better with reality. Read the rules, respect liquidity, and assume that operational timing matters.


Pros and Cons

Pros

Regulated, U.S.-first positioning compared with many prediction market alternatives

Real order book trading with the ability to enter and exit before settlement

Wide range of market categories beyond just politics or sports

Mobile app experience is solid and generally mirrors the web platform

Cons

❌ Fees can be heavy for short-term trading, especially around 50/50 markets

❌ Liquidity is uneven. Some markets are great; others feel empty

❌ Sports-related contracts are controversial and can introduce jurisdictional uncertainty

❌ You have to read the rules. If you want “set it and forget it,” this may not be your platform


Kalshi vs Alternatives: Feature comparison (at a glance)

If you’re deciding whether Kalshi is the right fit, I find it helps to compare it to the two most common alternatives people cross-shop: a traditional sportsbook and a crypto-first prediction market. This table is not about which one is “best” in general. It’s about which product style matches how you actually want to participate.

FeatureKalshiTraditional SportsbookCrypto-native prediction market
Regulatory posture (U.S.)Federally regulated event contract exchangeState-regulated gambling operatorOften offshore or unclear for U.S. users
Product feelOrder book tradingFixed-odds bettingOrder book or AMM-style trading
FeesPer-trade feesEmbedded in odds/holdVaries (often low visible fees, other costs exist)
Funding railsUSD-first (plus supported crypto routes)USD (cards, ACH, etc.)Usually crypto-first
Cash-out before event resolvesYes (sell your position)Sometimes (cash out feature)Usually yes
Best forTraders who want a regulated venueBettors who want simplicityTraders comfortable with crypto rails

Final Thoughts: Who Kalshi Is Best For

Kalshi is best for people who actually want to trade outcomes, not just bet on them.

If you like reading the rules, placing limit orders, scaling into a position, and taking profit when the market overreacts, Kalshi is one of the cleanest U.S.-focused options.

In practice, the folks who seem to get the most out of Kalshi are:

  1. News-driven traders who want to buy early and sell into the move.
  2. People hedging a real-world risk (rates, inflation, elections) instead of “sweating a ticket.”
  3. Anyone who values regulated USD rails and a transparent order book.

If you want a traditional sportsbook experience, you’ll probably bounce off the fee model and the exchange mindset.

My simplest recommendation:

  1. Choose Kalshi if regulation and USD rails matter to you, and you’re willing to trade like an adult.
  2. Skip it if you’re chasing tiny edges in coin-flip markets or you just want parlays and promos.

One practical way to start without overthinking it: pick one liquid, easy-to-verify market, place a small limit order, and watch how fees, spreads, and fills affect your real entry price. That one “test trade” teaches you more than a week of reading.


Kalshi FAQs

1. Is Kalshi legit?

Yes in the practical sense that it’s a real exchange with real trading, real users, and rules-based settlement. The bigger question is whether it’s a fit for your style.

2. Is Kalshi legal in the U.S.?

Kalshi positions itself as a federally regulated exchange for event contracts. The big legal friction has been around sports-related event contracts and how state gaming authorities view them.

3. Does Kalshi require KYC?

Yes. Expect identity verification as part of opening an account, typically confirming your identity and basic personal details before you can fully fund and trade. In some cases, additional checks can pop up later (for example after certain deposit methods or larger transfers), so it’s normal if verification isn’t a one-and-done step.

4. How do Kalshi payouts work?

Each contract settles at $1.00 or $0.00 based on the market rules. You can also sell your position before settlement to lock in profit or cut risk.

5. What fees should I expect?

Kalshi charges trading fees that vary by contract price and size. Fees tend to be highest near 50/50 prices and lower near the extremes.

6. Can I use Kalshi on mobile?

Yes. The mobile experience is strong and is usually more than good enough for everyday trading, especially for checking prices, managing open orders, and entering basic limit orders on the go. I still prefer the web app for deeper research (comparing multiple markets, reading rules carefully, and sizing positions), but mobile is totally fine for monitoring positions and making quick adjustments when a market moves.


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